Nifty PE crosses 24|A statistically informed entry-exit model!

I posted this chart on August 2019.

In the long term market is a slave to earnings… Earnings need to match valuations otherwise market corrects to its mean. This has been proven again and again. I have given the updated chart below.

Normally we expect a good recovery after fall down… But we have seven quarters of falling GDP even before corona Virus came to picture… And Corona virus might dent the EPS even further in next quarters… So I’m confused which valuations would be appropriate…

7 Likes