My Portfolio- key thesis points for each company and learnings

It has been roughly 9 months since my last update here and the portfolio has changed considerably. I wanted to come back with a proper update, not just a list of stocks, but an honest accounting of what I bought, what I sold, why, and what has actually worked and what hasn’t.

Portfolio summary as of 19 March 2026:

28 positions (down from 31 a few months ago, target: ~22 over time)

Exits — What I Sold and Why (Being Honest)

HAL (Hindustan Aeronautics): Exited a profitable position (>500%). HAL is a great company but at the valuations it commanded post re-rating, the easy money was made. I was already expressing the defence theme through MTAR and BEL where I had higher conviction on the earnings trajectory. This was more a portfolio management decision than a fundamental one. I prefer to be concentrated in the less-discovered names in a theme rather than spread across the obvious ones too.

HINDCOPPER (Hindustan Copper): Made a good profit here (~70%). I’ll be transparent: I bought at ₹310 and exited at ₹525. Copper fundamentals remain structurally interesting (EV transition, renewables, data centres), but the stock oscillates with global commodity cycles and I’ve learned, the hard way, that I don’t have an edge in timing those moves. Took the profit and moved on. If copper re-rates further, I’ll have missed some upside, and I’m fine with that.

SANGHVIMOV (Sanghvi Movers): Took a loss here. Have to be honest about this one: I exited at a loss. The thesis was decent, crane rental beneficiary of India’s infrastructure capex upcycle. But execution kept disappointing. Revenue was lumpy, fleet utilization was weaker than I modelled, and capital sitting in a flat-to-declining stock has a real opportunity cost. Sometimes you have to cut losses and redeploy. The lesson I took from this: asset rental businesses require a much more granular understanding of utilisation cycles than I initially had.

VIMTALABS (Vimta Labs): Decent business, NABL-accredited testing labs, honest management, no governance concerns. But I already had meaningful CDMO/pharma exposure and Vimta’s growth rate wasn’t differentiating enough to justify holding alongside those names. Rotated out at roughly breakeven.

JUBLPHARMA (Jubilant Pharmova): The multi-division structure made thesis clarity difficult. CDMO story vs. base API business vs. the radio pharma pivot, I couldn’t build clean conviction on which division was going to drive re-rating. When I can’t clearly answer “what does the market re-rate on and when?”, I now default to exiting rather than holding in hope. Booked a modest loss.

For the remaining exits from the original portfolio, the pattern was consistent: either the 200 DMA broke and didn’t recover, or a better opportunity existed in the same theme. I am increasingly convinced that not selling mediocre positions is the single biggest drag on long-term portfolio returns.


New Additions (Key Ones)

MTAR Technologies (MTARTECH) — 4.6% allocation, -3.2% MTAR is one of my higher-conviction additions and the fact that it is currently in the red is something I want to address head-on. This is a precision parts manufacturer with approved vendor status for fuel cells (Bloom Energy), nuclear components (NPCIL), and space/defence applications (ISRO, DRDO). The competitive moat here is significant: getting approved as a vendor for nuclear-grade precision components takes years of qualification and is essentially irreversible once established. My FY29E thesis is built on three revenue pillars converging simultaneously: the Bloom Energy ramp as clean energy adoption accelerates globally, India’s nuclear capacity addition programme (10 new reactors announced), and the defence/space order pipeline that MTAR is uniquely positioned to capture. Current valuations, in my view, do not adequately price the FY27 earnings step-up. I’m comfortable holding through this trough.

Sansera Engineering (SANSERA) — 3.3% allocation, +0.1% Sansera is effectively a flat position but it belongs in new additions because my thesis has evolved materially since I entered. I originally bought this as a quality auto ancillary with strong forging capabilities and deep OEM relationships. What I’ve increasingly come to appreciate is the aerospace pivot story. Sansera has been systematically building capabilities in aerospace-grade precision forged components and recently disclosed an order pipeline from global aerospace OEMs. The EV transition risk is real and I won’t minimise it: a meaningful part of Sansera’s revenue comes from powertrain-linked auto components that could face pressure in an accelerating EV scenario. But the counter-thesis is the aerospace ramp, which operates on completely different timelines and is an additive revenue stream rather than a replacement. If you look at how Sansera is allocating capex over the next three years, the aerospace share is growing decisively. I’m holding and selectively adding on weakness.

Godawari Power and Ispat (GPIL) — 4.3% allocation, -3.5% GPIL is an integrated iron ore pellet manufacturer and one of the lower-cost producers in the country. I entered this position as a quality cyclical play: strong balance sheet, captive iron ore mines giving meaningful cost advantages over peers, and a management team with a solid track record of capital allocation through cycles. The stock is currently slightly in the red and I’ll be honest that iron ore price softness and lower steel realisations have pressured near-term earnings. But the thesis here is not a short-term trade and the most important development to flag is the capacity expansion the company is executing, which is nearly 200% of current installed capacity. This is not a marginal addition; it is a transformational scale-up that, when operational, changes the earnings profile of the business entirely. GPIL’s integration from mine to pellet to DRI already gives it structural cost resilience that most pure-play steel names don’t have. Layer in this capacity expansion and the operating leverage on any commodity recovery is significant. Watching the iron ore cycle carefully, but conviction on the business quality and the growth runway remains firmly intact.

South West Pinnacle Exploration (SOUTHWEST) — 3.8% allocation, -1.4% This is one of the least-covered names in my portfolio and deliberately so. South West Pinnacle is a mine developer and operator, working primarily on government-awarded coal block development contracts in India. The thesis is simple: India needs to operationalise its coal blocks faster, SWPE has the technical capability and track record to execute, and the order pipeline from Coal India and state DISCOMs is deep. But two recent developments have materially strengthened my conviction beyond the domestic story. First, the company has made a foray into Oman, which signals a deliberate pivot toward international mining project opportunities and meaningfully expands the addressable market beyond what a purely India-domestic reading of the business would suggest. Second, and critically, SWPE has received a mining licence, which is a significant regulatory milestone that moves the business from a services and development model toward becoming an operator with direct resource ownership. These are not incremental news items; they change the long-term earnings ceiling for the company.

Finolex Cables (FINCABLES) — 1.9% allocation, -0.9% (Brand new entry, scaling up position size) Part of a comprehensive wires and cables sector deep dive covering Polycab, KEI, RR Kabel, Finolex, HFCL, and Sterlite. Finolex came through as the undervalued name in the pack: clean balance sheet, zero debt, and strong brand presence in South and West India. The market penalises it for the Finolex Industries holding structure complexity, which I think is overstated relative to the core cables business quality. But the thesis goes well beyond the core cables business. Finolex is investing in optical fibre preform manufacturing, which is the upstream raw material used to draw optical fibre cables. India is almost entirely import-dependent on preforms today, and domestic preform capacity is a strategic necessity given the scale of BharatNet and the broader fibre rollout across the country. If Finolex successfully scales its preform capacity, it transforms from a branded cables business into a vertically integrated optical infrastructure company, which is a completely different earnings and valuation conversation. This optionality is receiving almost no attention from the market currently, which is precisely why the position is interesting. Bought for the core value and the margin of safety, with preform as a free option on top.

KSH International (KSHINTL) — 0.9% allocation, -2.7% (Brand new entry, scaling up position size) This is a small entry into what I consider one of the most misunderstood businesses in the current portfolio. KSH International is not a commodity wire manufacturer. It is the only Indian company approved to supply Continuously Transposed Conductors (CTC) for HVDC (High Voltage Direct Current) transformers, which are the most technically demanding and highest-value product in the power transmission supply chain. The MD confirmed on the Q3FY26 concall that they are the only ones supplying this product domestically, with 37 HVDC transformers currently in execution including a GE order pipeline. This single fact, which is almost entirely absent from market commentary, is the foundation of the thesis. The three pillars that underpin it are: first, the Power T&D supercycle driven by grid modernisation, renewable energy evacuation, and AI data centre power demand, all of which flow through large power transformers, every one of which contains KSH’s CTC; second, the HVDC CTC monopoly itself, which is structurally protected because global HVDC growth is in exponential territory and no other Indian manufacturer has the approvals to compete; and third, the capacity expansion at the Supa Plant which takes KSH to 43,445 MT and makes them the second largest CTC manufacturer in India, with Phase 2 targeting 59,045 MT by FY28 effectively doubling the base.

Force Motors (FORCEMOT) — 2.3% allocation, +11.7% A position that doesn’t get enough attention in my portfolio narrative. Force Motors is executing a quiet but meaningful pivot: on one side, deepening its relationship with the defence establishment through specialised vehicle platforms, and on the other, pushing into the premium UV segment where it has historically been underrepresented. Both vectors are showing up in the earnings trajectory and the stock has begun to reflect this. Still early in the re-rating.

Entero Healthcare (ENTERO) — 1.9% allocation, -6.6% Entero is a pharma distribution modernisation play. The Indian pharmaceutical distribution chain remains deeply fragmented and Entero is building the technology and logistics infrastructure to consolidate and professionalise it. The position is currently slightly in the red and I’ll be honest that margin ramp has been slower than I modelled. Watching closely over the next two quarters for evidence that operating leverage is beginning to show through.


Current Portfolio — All 28 Positions

# Stock Allocation P&L Thesis
1 TD Power Systems 9.4% +111.4% Generator motors for data centres and industrial; AI capex beneficiary
2 Bharat Electronics (BEL) 7.2% +333.2% Defence electronics compounder; biggest winner in portfolio
3 Acutaas Chemicals 6.1% +102.6% Specialty pharma chem; earnings delivery well ahead of expectations
4 Frontier Springs 4.8% +81.4% Niche railway springs manufacturer; strong revenue growth, low analyst coverage
5 MTAR Technologies 4.6% -3.2% Precision parts for fuel cells, nuclear, space; re-rating play on FY27-29 earnings step-up
6 Sai Life Sciences 4.5% +9.3% Best-in-class India CDMO; China+1 core beneficiary
7 Godawari Power (GPIL) 4.3% -3.5% Integrated iron pellet player; ~200% capacity expansion underway
8 AXISCADES Technologies 3.9% +80.8% Engineering services + defence software IP; under-discovered
9 BlackBuck 3.9% +30.5% SaaS for trucking; early profitable stage, large TAM
10 South West Pinnacle 3.8% -1.4% Coal mine developer; Oman foray + mining licence changes earnings ceiling
11 Vishnu Chemicals 3.8% +3.0% Dominant Indian chromium chemicals manufacturer; niche moat
12 Interarch Building 3.6% +20.5% Pre-engineered buildings; warehousing and infra capex beneficiary
13 Aditya Birla Capital 3.5% +82.3% Discount-to-NAV play across diversified financials; re-rating ongoing
14 Sansera Engineering 3.3% +0.1% Precision forging + aerospace pivot; monitoring EV transition risk
15 CCL Products 3.3% +17.0% India’s dominant instant coffee exporter; steady compounder
16 NTPC 3.2% +93.8% Renewable transition + base thermal earnings; sleep-well holding
17 Aarti Pharmalabs 2.9% -7.0% CDMO value play; under-discovered, patience required
18 JM Financial 2.9% -9.4% Diversified financial services; low P/B recovery bet
19 Privi Speciality Chemicals 2.9% +24.2% India’s largest aroma chemicals player; margin recovery story
20 Eternal (Zomato) 2.5% +338.6% Blinkit compounding; bought very early, small position
21 Indosolar (WaareeIndo) 2.5% -37.3% Solar module capacity play; thesis delayed, watching
22 Force Motors 2.3% +11.7% Defence + premium UV pivot; earnings trajectory improving
23 Fedbank Financial 2.2% -2.7% Gold loan + retail NBFC; watching credit quality trend
24 SAMHI Hotels 2.0% -21.6% Business hotel RevPAR recovery; execution slower than expected
25 Finolex Cables 1.9% -0.9% Value pick in cables sector; preform optionality entirely unpriced
26 Entero Healthcare 1.9% -6.6% Pharma distribution modernisation; watching margin ramp
27 HBL Engineering 1.6% -26.8% Railway + defence batteries; sharp correction, thesis under review
28 KSH International 0.9% -2.7% India’s only approved HVDC CTC supplier; power T&D supercycle monopoly play
-- Mirae Hang Seng TECH ETF 0.4% -28.8% China tech optionality; rounding-error position

Honest Market Thoughts — March 2026

On the mid/small cap correction: I entered several positions near peaks in late 2024 and have watched some of them give back 20-40%. What I’ve tried to discipline myself to do is separate “price has fallen because fundamentals weakened” from “price has fallen because valuations corrected from frothy levels.” The former demands action; the latter demands patience. HBL Engineering, SAMHI, and Indosolar are positions where I am still working through which bucket they belong to.

On my winners: BEL, NTPC, Eternal, TD Power, HAL, Hindustan Copper, AB Capital and Acutaas have delivered outsized returns and the honest answer is that some of that is luck, specifically buying early enough, as much as it is skill. I’ll take it. The key discipline is not selling these too early. Multi-baggers require sitting through periods where a +50% gain feels like “enough.”

On defence and power: These remain my highest-conviction macro themes. Both are government-directed, multi-year, and relatively bipartisan in terms of political support. The risk is execution delay. HAL’s supply chain issues have illustrated that even well-funded government programmes can slip. But the direction of travel is clear. MTAR being currently in the red is something I’m watching closely, but my view is that the current weakness is about near-term order timing rather than any structural deterioration in the business.

On CDMO: SAILIFE and AARTIPHARM are medium-to-long term conviction plays. The China+1 shift in pharmaceutical outsourcing is real and India has the chemistry depth to capitalise on it, but it takes time for revenues to ramp. I’m not looking at these on a 12-month horizon. Acutaas has already validated the thesis through earnings delivery; the others are still in the validation phase.

On financial services: I’ve been humbled here. JM Financial is in the red, FedBank is roughly flat, and AB Capital is the only meaningful winner. Financial services requires a level of balance sheet forensics that I’m still developing. I’ll likely trim this exposure gradually.

On Indosolar: This is my most uncomfortable position. -37.3% is painful and I underestimated how long it would take for the Waaree ecosystem value to reflect in the Indosolar price. The solar module capacity story remains real; the listed vehicle for it has been messy. Still holding but fully size-aware.

On concentration: I want to get to approximately 22 positions over the next two quarters. The long tail of sub-2% positions represents capital that is either waiting to be sized up on confirmed thesis delivery or will be exited. I’ll be deliberate about this rather than letting the tail drift.


What I’ve Learned Since Last Post

  1. Thesis clarity before entry is non-negotiable. If I can’t write two clean sentences on what specifically the market is missing about a stock, I shouldn’t own it. This filter alone would have kept me out of Sanghvi Movers and Jubilant Pharmova.

  2. Cutting losses is a skill, not a weakness. I held Indosolar and SAMHI longer than I should have, partly out of anchoring bias. Actively working on this.

  3. A rules-based exit process exists for a reason and bending it is almost always a mistake. Over the past year I developed a 200 DMA exit rule: if a stock closes a week below its 200 DMA with no immediate recovery, I exit. This framework is designed to make the process less emotional and more disciplined, and to respect the time value of capital sitting in a declining position. It worked well when I followed it. Where I caused myself unnecessary pain was in giving it leeway during the sharp market correction and heightened geopolitical uncertainty of the past few months, telling myself conditions were exceptional and a recovery was imminent. In hindsight that was rationalisation, not analysis. Weak markets and uncertain macro are precisely the conditions the rule was designed for. The positions that hurt most in this portfolio are largely the ones where I made that exception. Going forward the rule is the rule.


Disclosure: I am a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (INH000023807). I hold all stocks mentioned above in my personal portfolio as of 19 March 2026. This post is for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please conduct your own due diligence or consult your financial advisor before investing.

19 Likes

Would love your thoughts regarding KSH: I’ve been tracking it but am not fully convinced the moat is durable.

The way I see it, the core moat is the approval stack, but these approvals are not a permanent barrier. Any well-capitalized Indian manufacturer who decides to go through the qualification process, albeit tedious, can eventually get there (or maybe already in the process). So my question is, what stops a well-funded new entrant from deciding to pursue the same certifications?

I have also watched some footage of CTC manufacturing (link) and as a complete layman with zero background in this field, the process does not look impossibly complex. I am sure there is precision engineering involved that does not show up on camera, but I am curious whether you think the manufacturing process itself creates any real barrier, or whether the entire moat really just comes down to the approvals and the customer relationship history.

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You’ve raised exactly the right question and I want to engage with it properly rather than defend a position reflexively.

You’re correct that approvals are not permanent monopoly grants. A determined, well-capitalised entrant can pursue them. But I’d push back on the implied timeline, and I’d distinguish between three different product categories that have very different competitive dynamics.

For standard winding wires, the moat is thin. You’re right. KSH competes here on execution, customer relationships and scale, not on any deep technical barrier. Precision Wires and Ram Ratna are already formidable at larger scale.

For standard power transformer CTC, the barrier is meaningfully higher: PGCIL/NTPC vendor qualification, OEM design qualification, and 45 years of process refinement that doesn’t show on camera. A new entrant with Rs. 500 Cr and genuine ambition could get there, but I’d estimate 5 to 7 years from decision to first commercial supply at any meaningful scale, given the OEM re-qualification cycles required.

For HVDC CTC specifically (the core of the long-term thesis), I think the barrier is substantially higher than your framing suggests, for one specific reason: PGCIL’s HVDC certification requires field performance data from actual installed HVDC transformers. KSH is already in 37 HVDC transformer projects. A new entrant has zero field data today. Utilities will not qualify an untested HVDC conductor supplier. The downside of a failure in a Rs. 500 Cr HVDC substation is too severe. This is a 7 to 10 year barrier for a credible new entrant, not 2 to 3 years.

On manufacturing complexity: you’re probably right that the process itself is not impossibly complex. The barrier there is less ‘secret sauce’ and more 45 years of embedded process knowledge (tolerance calibration, defect classification, quality control systems) that a new entrant starting from scratch would need years to replicate even with good machinery.

So my honest view: the moat is multi-layered but not impenetrable, and it is strongest in HVDC CTC (5 to 7+ year protection) and weakest in standard wires (limited moat). The investment case is not premised on KSH being untouchable forever. It’s premised on having a structural demand tailwind (the T&D supercycle), a scalable volume engine (Supa capacity), and a 5 to 7 year window of premium pricing on HVDC CTC before real competition arrives. That window, if the numbers play out, is long enough for the thesis to work.

The risk you’re correctly identifying is most relevant to the 3 to 5 year horizon beyond the core investment period, not the 1 to 3 year return window where the valuation case is made. Happy to discuss further.

9 Likes

Thank you for taking the time to break this down so thoughtfully, learned a lot from this :folded_hands:

1 Like

Portfolio Update: June 2026 (Holdings, Exits and New Additions Since March)

It has been roughly three months since my last detailed update (19 March). As before, this is meant to be an honest accounting rather than just a list: what I added, what I sold, why, and what is actually working.

I will start with the uncomfortable part. In March, I said the target was about 22 positions over the next two quarters. I am now at 33 positions, up from 28. That is the wrong direction, and I want to own it rather than bury it. The honest explanation is that I made far more new entries than exits in this window. Most of the new names come from research I have higher conviction in, particularly in T&D and pharma, but conviction in a new idea is not the same as a license to keep widening the book. Cutting the tail has succumbed to the temptation of new ideas, which has partly been a function of broadening markets and emerging sectors, but that still does not excuse the indiscipline. I am being transparent about it, so the next update will be judged against it.

Quick caveat, same as always: I may add or exit any of these without updating here, so please do your own due diligence. Nothing below is a recommendation.


Exits Since March: What I Sold and Why (Being Honest)

AXISCADES (AXISCADES): Booked a strong gain (around 150%). I exited on the back of a poor set of results and because I was no longer convinced by management’s 2030 ambitions. When the numbers disappoint and I have stopped believing the long-range guidance, I would rather take the gain than keep holding on a story I am no longer underwriting.

BlackBuck / Zinka (BLACKBUCK): Sold on decent gains. This is a high-quality business and I have no fundamental quarrel with it, but the stock showed clear weakness and broke my 200-DMA rule. I followed the rule rather than my attachment to the company. Discipline over conviction in this case.

Interarch Building (INTERARCH): Sold on good gains. The investment case largely played out from where I bought, and from here I expect growth to stay subdued until the new capacities are live. I would rather redeploy now and revisit once the expansion is actually contributing to the numbers.

Indosolar / Waaree (WAAREEINDO): I got into this through the OFS because it looked optically cheap. I exited at a loss. The listed vehicle stayed a messy way to own the Waaree ecosystem, and a balance-sheet/quality flag tripped my threshold. In March I called it my most uncomfortable position and wrote that cutting losses is a skill, not a weakness. This is me applying that rather than just saying it.

(I also closed a handful of smaller positions over this period for rule-based or valuation reasons; nothing in those exits changes the broader picture.)


New Additions Since March

I have grouped these by theme. As in March, I am keeping the theses qualitative and operational. I am not putting target prices on a public thread.

Building out the T&D / grid basket

The single highest-conviction macro theme for me right now is the power transmission and distribution supercycle (grid modernisation, renewable evacuation, AI-datacentre load). KSH (continuing) is the conductor side of it. I have added two more legs:

Atlanta Electricals (ATLANTAELE): Power and distribution transformer maker with a strong order book riding the transmission-capex and renewable-evacuation build-out. Transformers are the chokepoint in the grid build, and every large transformer is a unit of demand for the conductor and grid-equipment names I also hold.

Quality Power Electrical Equipments (QPOWER): Niche maker of HVDC, reactive-power and grid-stabilisation equipment, with a global order pipeline and an inorganic angle. Higher-risk and higher-optionality than Atlanta, but a direct play on the same structural demand. Between KSH (conductors), Atlanta (transformers), QPOWER (grid equipment) and TD Power (generation-side machines), the T&D exposure is now deliberate rather than incidental.

Shivalik Bimetal Controls (SBCL): Slightly adjacent, but in the same electrification family. Maker of shunt resistors and bimetal/clad-metal products used in smart meters, EVs, battery-management systems and electronics. A quiet beneficiary of metering reform and electrification, with high-entry-barrier, spec-in components.

Deepening the pharma sleeve

Innova Captab (INNOVACAP): Domestic-formulations CDMO with a backward-integrated, large-scale manufacturing footprint, plus its own branded and generic exposure. The optionality is cross-sell across CDMO, branded and trade-generics.

Concord Biotech (CONCORDBIO): Fermentation-based API leader in immunosuppressants and select oncology molecules. Fermentation at scale is genuinely hard to replicate, which is the moat. I am watching the receivables and working-capital line.

Senores Pharmaceuticals (SENORES): US-regulated-markets play in niche, low-competition generics, with a growing India branded and API base. High growth, sized as a scaling story rather than a settled one.

Shilpa Medicare (SHILPAMED): Oncology API base with optionality in biologics, peptides and novel formulations (transdermals, orally dissolving films). The optionality is the reason to own it; the base business anchors the valuation. This is a new position and I am still scaling it up.

Other additions

Rossell Techsys (ROSSTECH): Aerospace and defence electrical wiring and interconnect systems, demerged from Rossell India and listed in late 2024. Boeing has been the anchor customer for over a decade (Apache, F-15, F/A-18, T-7A, KC-46), and they have won Boeing Supplier of the Year recognition. FY26 revenue was up sharply (around Rs 485 cr, up ~87% YoY) with profit metrics more than doubling, and two new verticals (space and semiconductors) are scaling. Historically near-100% export, now opening a domestic channel. This is a brand-new position and I am still scaling it up.

Venus Pipes & Tubes (VENUSPIPES): Stainless-steel seamless and welded pipes/tubes maker moving up the value chain into fittings and spooling, with backward integration into mother-hollow pipes. Record FY26, exports around 37% of revenue, and end-markets in power, oil and gas, chemicals and, increasingly, data centres and semiconductors. This is a brand-new position and I am still scaling it up.

MSTC (MSTCLTD): A state-owned, near-monopoly e-commerce and e-auction platform, and a genuinely under-appreciated business model. Several structural tailwinds stack here. First, the auction mandate: large volumes of government and PSU sales (coal, minerals, scrap, surplus assets) are routed through MSTC’s platform by policy, not by choice. Second, the EPR (Extended Producer Responsibility) marketplace for plastic, e-waste, battery and tyre waste, which scales structurally as EPR compliance widens across producers. Third, the vehicle-scrappage programme, where MSTC’s recycling JV is positioned to benefit as end-of-life vehicle scrapping ramps. Fourth, and the part the market underrates, the float: MSTC collects earnest money and advances from bidders ahead of auctions, which gives it a negative-working-capital model and a steady stream of interest income earned on other people’s money. Put together, it is an asset-light, cash-generative, policy-backed monopoly with several independent mandates compounding behind it. Reported quarterly numbers have been lumpy, which I am still working through, so for now I am running it as a scaling position.

Nuvama Wealth (NUVAMA): Wealth-management and capital-markets franchise levered to the financialisation of Indian savings and rising HNI/UHNI wealth. Asset-light, high-return model with operating leverage. A higher-quality way to keep financials exposure as I trim the weaker names in that sleeve.

EPL (EPL): Global leader in laminated tubes (the packaging behind a large share of the world’s oral-care and beauty tubes). A steadier, cash-generative compounder to balance the more cyclical and earlier-stage names.


Current Portfolio: All 33 Positions

Weights are approximate (by current value); P&L is unrealised.

# Stock Wt P&L Thesis
1 TD Power Systems 10.3% +244% Generators for power/grid and industrial; AI-datacentre power proxy
2 MTAR Technologies 7.3% +125% Precision parts (nuclear/space/defence/clean energy); the FY27-29 step-up is now showing
3 Acutaas Chemicals 6.1% +196% Specialty pharma chem; earnings delivery well ahead of expectations
4 Bharat Electronics 4.8% +323% Defence electronics compounder; biggest winner in the book
5 Sai Life Sciences 3.7% +32% Best-in-class India CRDMO; China+1 core beneficiary
6 KSH International 3.4% +97% India’s only approved HVDC CTC supplier; T&D supercycle monopoly leg
7 Sansera Engineering 3.3% +46% Precision forging plus aerospace pivot; monitoring EV-transition risk
8 Frontier Springs 3.3% +85% Niche railway/auto springs; strong growth, low coverage
9 South West Pinnacle 3.3% +27% Drilling/exploration services plus Oman Cu-Au JV and mining licence
10 Quality Power 3.3% +9% HVDC and grid-stabilisation equipment; T&D supercycle (new)
11 Godawari Power (GPIL) 3.1% +5% Backward-integrated steel; ~200% capacity expansion underway
12 Vishnu Chemicals 3.1% +24% Dominant Indian chromium chemicals; strontium optionality
13 Aditya Birla Capital 2.9% +124% Discount-to-NAV diversified financials; re-rating ongoing
14 Senores Pharma 2.9% +65% US-regulated niche generics plus India branded (new)
15 Innova Captab 2.9% +5% Domestic-formulations CDMO; backward-integrated scale-up (new)
16 Shivalik Bimetal 2.9% +7% Shunts/bimetals for metering, EV, electronics (new)
17 MSTC 2.7% +5% PSU e-auction franchise plus scrappage; watching quality flags (new)
18 CCL Products 2.5% +31% India’s dominant instant-coffee exporter; steady compounder
19 Entero Healthcare 2.5% -11% Pharma-distribution consolidation; margin ramp still slow
20 Privi Speciality 2.4% +52% India’s largest aroma-chemicals player; margin recovery delivering
21 Aarti Pharmalabs 2.2% +2% CDMO value play; finally turning positive
22 Atlanta Electricals 2.2% +4% Power and distribution transformers; T&D capex (new)
23 Nuvama Wealth 2.1% +23% Wealth plus capital markets; financialisation of savings (new)
24 NTPC 2.1% +89% Renewable transition plus base thermal; sleep-well holding
25 JM Financial 2.0% -7% Diversified financials; low P/B recovery bet (still red)
26 Eternal (Zomato) 2.0% +396% Blinkit/q-comm compounding; bought very early, small position
27 Concord Biotech 1.9% +7% Fermentation APIs (immunosuppressants/onco); hard-to-replicate moat (new)
28 EPL 1.8% +1% Global laminated-tubes leader; steady cash compounder (new)
29 SAMHI Hotels 1.6% -6% Business-hotel RevPAR recovery; recovering off the lows
30 Shilpa Medicare 1.5% +3% Oncology APIs plus biologics/peptides optionality (new, scaling up)
31 Rossell Techsys 1.4% -1% Aero/defence wiring harnesses (Boeing); space + semis optionality (new, scaling up)
32 HBL Engineering 1.4% -9% Railway KAVACH plus defence batteries; order book firming, thesis back on track
33 Venus Pipes & Tubes 1.3% 0% Stainless pipes/tubes; capacity expansion and value-add mix (new, scaling up)

Honest Market Thoughts: June 2026

A few of the calls I made in March are worth revisiting honestly, good and bad.

The MTAR call aged well. In March I argued that MTAR being in the red was about near-term order timing rather than structural deterioration, and that I was watching it closely. It has since re-rated hard and is now one of my largest positions in profit. That is the kind of situation the “fundamentals weakened vs valuations corrected” distinction is meant to catch, and this time I read it correctly.

KSH worked, and the discipline of scaling up worked. It was a 0.9% starter at a small loss in March. I kept adding as the thesis held, and it is now a meaningful position well in profit. The HVDC CTC argument I laid out earlier in this thread (field-data barriers, the T&D supercycle, the Supa capacity ramp) is playing through roughly as expected. This is the clearest example of “size up on confirmed thesis delivery” actually being executed.

HBL went from thesis-under-review to thesis-back-on-track. In March it was down ~27% and I flagged it as under review. The large KAVACH order wins since then (including a very large CLW order) and a firmer order book have rebuilt the case, and the drawdown has roughly halved. I held through it because the deterioration looked like sentiment and order-timing, not the business breaking. That judgement looks right so far.

Entero is the one I am least happy about among the holders. In March I said I was watching two quarters for operating leverage to show through. The margin ramp is real but still slower than I modelled, and the position is now more in the red than it was. I am giving it limited additional rope; if the operating-cash-flow and margin evidence does not firm up, it moves to the exit pile.

Defence and power remain my highest-conviction macro themes, and the portfolio now reflects that more deliberately than in March, between BEL, MTAR, Rossell on defence/precision and TD Power, KSH, Atlanta, QPOWER on power and grid. The risk in all of these is execution and order timing, not demand.

Financials: still humbled, still trimming. AB Capital and now Nuvama are the names I am genuinely comfortable in. JM remains in the red. I said in March I would trim this sleeve gradually as I build my balance-sheet-forensics muscle, and that is still the plan.


What I’ve Learned Since the Last Post

  1. The tail is winning the argument, and that is on me. Going from 28 to 33 while saying I wanted 22 is the clearest evidence that idea-generation is outrunning portfolio discipline. The next two quarters are about cutting and sizing, not adding. If I add a name, something has to go.

  2. Acting on a forensic flag beats admiring the narrative. I held Indosolar too long because the solar-capacity story was attractive even as the listed vehicle and the numbers were not. Exiting it, finally, was the right call. The lesson is to weight the balance sheet over the story when the two disagree.

  3. The 200-DMA rule earns its keep when I actually follow it. BlackBuck is the clean example this quarter: a business I like, but the rule said sell on the breakdown and I did, in profit. The positions that have hurt most over time are the ones where I made an exception to the rule, not the ones where I followed it.

  4. Scaling winners on confirmed delivery is where the real money is. KSH and MTAR both validate the “start small, add on thesis confirmation” approach. The mirror image, not selling mediocre positions fast enough, remains the bigger drag.

As always, feedback and pushback are welcome, especially on the concentration point. Happy to go deeper on any single name.

Disclaimer: This is my personal portfolio and rationale, not investment advice. I hold the positions listed above and may change them at any time without updating here. Please do your own due diligence.

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