SEBI has issued a Show-Cause Notice (SCN) to Mr. Ramesh Kunhikannan, the Managing Director of Kaynes Technology, regarding alleged violations of insider trading regulations.
The notice does not confirm wrongdoing yet, but seeks an explanation from the MD before SEBI decides on further action.
•Clear strategy to become an integrated global ESDM player.
•Expanding into HDI PCBs and OSAT (semiconductor packaging) — huge opportunity given India’s focus on electronics localization.|
•Consistent focus on high-margin ODM and IoT products.
•Revenue expected to compound 20–25% CAGR over the next 3 years.
Disclaimer: Invested
Kaynes results were good. At 60% growth guidance, with mgmt affirming revenues to come from semiconductors (osat) in fy27, seems like a structural growth story for the years to come. Finance and depreciation costs to remain elevated as they have to build capacities for global customers to believe in their ability to execute. Receivable days were higher due to high receivables from one of their acquisitions. Valuation remains high but seems cheap if we consider 40-50% growth for next 2-3 years. Negative cash flows remain a concern, due to high inventory and receivables pileup.
Kaynes Technology FY25 Results
PAT up 60% in FY25
Eyes 60% Revenue growth in FY26
Targeting $1B by FY28 & $2B by FY30
Strong growth fully priced in; limited margin for error
Limited upside unless margins or scale beat expectations
Bhai - I was invested from lower levels and had done an exit after Q3. Something strange happened here:
I guess a week before the management came on TV and said that they will surprise on the upside while the price was falling. In Q3 they missed their guidance and said some projects saw delays. As the delays were not anticipated when they came on TV, a general assumption is that the delayed work will push in Q4. Management revised FY25 revenue downwards.
Q4 results were normal Q4 seen for this company but with margin expansion - it did not have any additional revenue to meet even the lower end of the revised guidance. So they fell short on their overall FY25 guidance.
For FY26, they maintained the same growth % number, however now with a lower base - so effectively they reduced their guidance for FY25 and beyond with a twist they said margins will see an upside. Generally when the results are to come good, price will start telling the story in advance. Since they declared their results, stock price is on a downward trajectory - and in between came surprise when management sold stake - surprisingly the buyers seems to have bought in small quantities - else their names would have been reported along with the seller names.
I would stay cautious on this counter till management delivers what they project.