If management is not cross checking before uploading to exchange, then management is not serious, this also makes it sell decision.
I don’t think this is the case here,
They have recently done large branch expansion and Microfinance sector is not doing well at the moment, that is the reason they downgraded their interest rate expectations.
Thank you.
Right now even after this fall, I find everything expensive.
I’m employing Ed Thorp strategy,
Just see the market from the sideline until you find great opportunity and once you see it go heavily. otherwise just see things from distance.
Till then Long term debt funds are good opportunity to make some money.
Do you have a waiting period after which you will slowly deploy even if you don’t find any great opportunity?
My friend and I waited for 5 long years but the opportunity didn’t come, so I started deploying funds in equity mutual fund SIPs a couple of years back. Can’t let inflation erode the cash value right?
Usually 2-3 opportunities come every year, not expecting much this year because I see it as last phase of bull market so almost everything is expensive. Even when economy is doing great one or more sectors go through tough phases every 1-2 years, so opportunities do come.
I’m not sure why you people did not find opportunity, may be your selection criteria is too strict.
Usually market is cyclical and give excellent opportunities in every 2-3 years.
Dont worry opportunities will emerge next year, RBI is working hard to create them
I use bonds/debt funds to fight inflation,
I would not want to invest this way, if I dont find value, would like to refrain from getting in. We invest to get more money out after a time period, if we are not getting this luxury through valuations, then there is no meaning in investing.
I have nothing else to hide temporarily, so I don’t look at tax complications for holding debt funds temporarily.
I think yes.
You never get capital gain on FD, you get only interest that too is mostly less than or equal to inflation rate, so you are actually not getting rich.
so FD is out of question.
The reason I’m in the Long term gov bond fund is,
As per present scenario, you get interest plus good probability of capital gain. I would not buy them when interest rates are down and probability of RBI increasing them in near future is high, because that will cause capital loss.
Hi…kalpesh are you taking position in India pesticides at current prices or you have completely exited from it. I think risk and rewards are more favourable at these prices. What’s your take?
I’m completely out of it and not looking to enter at this moment.
Major economies in world are facing downturn, recent GDP data shows India too is entering in that phase, at such a world situation these stock market valuations are not digestible.
sitting on huge cash position and expect a crash coming soon.
When retail investor participates in IPO, odd’s are not in his favor,
Promoter and private equity always want to sell their shares at higher valuations, that is the reason IPO’s usually come in bull market.
8 out of 10 IPO’s are usually overvalued.
I want to be in the same boat along with promoter instead of him being againt me.
How do u estimate terminal value can u please share
I have tried with many assumptions but can’t understand it what is the correct metric to consider
It’s really confusing
Please share sir,
Regards
Thanks for sharing your watchlist. I currently hold tracking positions in both Moldtek and Kronox, but the stocks have shown limited movement over the past two quarters. If you have any investment thesis or insights on these companies, I’d be keen to hear them. The impact on the revenue of Moldtek due to slump in paint industry and the indirect US tariff on Kronox clientele remains uncertain, especially given their significant exposure to the US market.
1. Mold-Tek Packaging Ltd
They have built great business, have potential of great growth going forward.
Major problem I see in investing in this company is dividend payouts.
They generate enough cash internally to support growth, but still they have to take debt or dilute equity, it’s like they are taking loan to give out dividends.
so would like to invest only at deep discount.
2. Kronox Lab Sciences Ltd
Kronox again is great business, generating so much cash every year.
Only problem here is promoters themselves.
If promoters want to keep all the profits to themselves, retail investors wont be able to benefit much from such business, even if this is a great business.
there is also possibilities of corporate governance issues emerge suddenly out of nowhere in the future, that is a big risk going forward.
I’m not sure if I would invest in it even at deep discounted price.
Sorry for sounding bit negative on both the businesses you are interested in.
