Currently analyzing greenply and overall forest theme. Please share your findings on the questions you’ve mentioned if any and would like to work on supporting the analysis here.
Century vs. Greenply — Century is making great margin in plywood where Greenply is making in MDF but not in plywood. Any idea on the same.
personal note: i am pure nnt in this regard … visited my grandmothers house in village few months ago… old furniture remains gold… last long and get better with time. I think some of us have seen ads in news papers about sale of old ship furniture.
discloser: i am interested in this counter … but felt like sharing this aspect like somebody mentioning health effect of tobacco company… labor policy of a manufacturer … health aspects of Maggi for Nestle.
Newton inverted: if something can’t go on forever… it will eventually stop.
… sometimes we find ideas from related reading. if it violates some vp policy i sincerely apologize.
1- 12-15% growth is going to be achieved within 9 months itself going by current trend of Q1.
2- ROIC will improve going forward as the company changes its strategy to a more asset light model.
3- This MDF segment is going to be the star division in coming 3-5 years. They are setting up a big new plant for this.
4- MDF growth has gone through the roof despite a weak demand scenario which means there is great acceptance of this product in the market. (Basically this MDF is a cheap product which is used in Italian furniture. And in India, CHEAP works).
5- GST should again be an obvious good thing.
6- Even Ply segment has grown but margins fell thanks to huge increase in traded ply. But this has improved the cash position hugely and this should convert greenply into a higher roic company soon. Its a good strategy I feel.
7- They are tripling MDF capacity by 2018 and that will really take Greenply to the next level! Just an incredible company.
Read Mr. Joshua kennon’s blog and the associated comments, and my immediate reaction was very negative about MDF.
When it comes to consumer buying trends and the strength of the Marketing in educating the Masses, I still feel that MDF is going to rule. Rationally, the investment in MDF as consumer is foolish but as an investor it is a gold mine. Speaking ethically will be the other way around.
Personally, I am going to inform to my close circle to be careful when purchasing wood. Not to go for MDF.
world wide furniture manufacturing have replaced plywood with MDF at least 10 years ago. MDF is much easier to work with, better finish product, cheaper and longer lasting. India furniture industry (organised and unorganized) will adopt this trend sooner rather than later. thank to this thread i have been able to differentiate between Century Plywood & Greeenply.
needs to see what will be average price to enter. as the company has expressed its desire to expand rapidly its production capacity, any uptake in the RE sentiment will be a boon.
haque
(20 years experience in furniture manufacturing)
Again good results posted by the Greeply. Strong MDF results
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS – 9MFY16
• Net Sales up by 6.3% YoY to Rs. 1,203.27 crores
– Plywood revenues up by 1.2% YoY to Rs. 851.83 crores, contributing 71% of net sales
– MDF revenues grew by 20.4% YoY to Rs 349.47 crores, contributing 29% to net sales
– New product Wallpaper contributed Rs ??? crores
• Gross margins expand 270 bps YoY to 44.7%
– Led by better product mix
• EBITDA margins up 170 bps YoY to 14.7%
– Ad expenditure to sales at 3.4% in Q3FY16
• PBT growth of 33.5% YoY to Rs. 118.89 crores
• PAT growth of 17.1% YoY to Rs. 89.29 crores
– EPS of Rs. 36.99 in 9MFY16 compared to Rs. 31.59 in 9MFY15
• Working capital cycle increased by 8 days yoy and 7 days qoq to 56days.
• Net debt to equity at 0.47x as on 31st December, 2015 as compared to 0.77x as on 31st December, 2014
You can get complete details of share holding pattern in BSEINDIA.COM, and also please go through this topic from starting to ending you will get better picture of this business and also its history
The company has conducted a conference call on 19th January 2016 to discuss the financial performance for the third quarter and nine months ended December 2015 and way forward. Mr. Shobhan Mittal, Executive Director, and Mr. V. Venkatramani, CFO, of the Company addressed the conference call.
Having said that, i myself have not subscribed to Capital Markets.
I get the details through old fashioned google search with specific terms.
Which is why i do not want to share the actual link and be held liable, as one can figure out the other proprietary sections such as Analyst Meets or Special Reports with a little bit of effort.
Moreover, con-calls are anyways now available through researchbytes.
I reiterate, you can also get it through Google Search.
The company has conducted a conference call on 24thMay 2016 to discuss the financial performance for the fourth quarter and FY 2016 and way forward. Mr. Shobhan Mittal, Executive Director, and Mr. V. Venkatramani, CFO, of the Company addressed the conference call.
Key highlights
Greenply Industries has continued to deliver a stable financial and operating performance in Q4FY16, in a sluggish economy. This has been driven by expansion of operating margins and introduction of new products at different price points to cater to customers’ requirements. This is a reflection of our proven quality, strong brand portfolio and well developed distribution infrastructure.
The Company expects that MDF business will be a key growth driver going forward due to beginning of necessary steps to setup a new MDF Plant in Andhra Pradesh which will be a key growth driver going forward. Further, reduction in working capital investments during FY 2016 was a significant achievement and it will continue to strive for better cash management in the coming quarters.
The company has registered net sales revenues grew 5.7% to Rs 452.83 crore in Q4FY16. Plywood revenues were up by 4.4% YoY to Rs. 323.82 crores, contributing 72% of net sales. MDF revenues grew by 7.1% YoY to Rs 126.69 crores, contributing 28% to net sales. New product Wallpaper contributed Rs 2.32 crores. Gross margins expand 260 bps YoY to 43.8%, led by improved capacity utilisations and better product mix. EBITDA margins up 240 bps YoY to 14.9% as Ad expenditure to sales at 2.5% in Q4FY16 compared to 1.2% YoY. PBT growth of 8.3% YoY to Rs. 53.84 crores. Adjusted PAT growth of 34% YoY to Rs. 39.88 crores (excluding exceptional items). Adjusted EPS of Rs. 3.30 in Q4FY16 compared to Rs. 2.47 in Q4FY15 (excluding exceptional items and after adjusting Q4 FY15 EPS for stock split in current quarter).
For FY 2016- Net Sales up by 6.1% YoY to Rs. 1656.09 crores. Plywood revenues up by 2% YoY to Rs. 1175.64 crores, contributing 71% of net sales. MDF revenues grew by 16.6% YoY to Rs 476.16 crores, contributing 29% to net sales. New product Wallpaper contributed Rs. 4.29 crores. Gross margins expand 270 bps YoY to 44.4%, led by improved capacity utilisations and better product mix. EBITDA margins up 191 bps YoY to 14.8% as Ad expenditure to sales at 3.2% in Q4FY16 compared to 2.8% yoy. PBT growth of 24.5% YoY to Rs. 172.73 crores. PAT growth of 21.8% YoY to Rs. 129.16 crores (excluding exceptional items). Adjusted EPS of Rs. 10.82 in FY16 compared to Rs. 8.79 in FY15 (excluding exceptional items and after adjusting FY15 EPS for stock split in current year).
The Company working capital cycle decreased by 9 days YOY to 43 days. Net debt to equity at 0.38 as on 31st March, 2016 as compared to 0.69 as on 31st March, 2015
The Company Ad expenditure to sales increased to 2.5% in Q4FY16 vs. 1.2% in Q4FY15. The Company plans to continue investments in increasing brand visibility pan-India, with Ad spends at around 3% of Net Sales.
PRODUCTION MODEL-Plywood – 70% in-house, moving towards an asset light set-up by increasing proportion of outsourcing. MDF – 100% in-house.
RAW MATERIAL SUSTAINABILITY- Plantation of fast growing and improved species of clonal plantations to improve quality of wood availability and plywood manufactured. Backward integration through 50% JV in Myanmar for production of face veneers.
The company holds largest pan-India player with 26% share of organised plywood market and 30% share of domestic MDF market. The company has 4 state–of-the-art manufacturing facilities for Plywood and 1 facility for MDF –largest in the country. With Plywood industry size of ~ Rs. 180 billion and MDF industry size of ~Rs. 16 billion, the company expects industry likely to benefit from rising residential/ commercial construction, increasing urbanization, high disposable incomes and Government Announcement regarding construction of 100 smart cities.
The Company hopes rising demand from the real estate sector, increasing urbanization, higher disposable incomes and growing middle class will be key industry driver going forward. The Company expects rollout of GST helps the industry to facilitate faster shift from unorganised to organised plywood players.
The company guides to increase the number of distributors and retailers going forward. Presently, the company has around 1200 plywood and 600 MDF distributors/stockist and 6000 plywood and 4000 MDF retailers. Also, serviced by 33 branches for ply and 15 branches for MDF pan-India.
The Company plansto optimise utilisation of plywood plants in existing facilities and increase outsourcing proportion to 30% from 22% presently over the next 3 years. Also, with plans to setting up new MDF plant in Andhra Pradesh over FY16-19 to cater to future demand.
The Company has continued upgrading IT infrastructure – implemented SAP Hana to strengthen overall supply chain and implemented Microsoft CRM Module.
The Company expects a ~6-8% growth in FY17. Margins expected to improve by 50-70 bps in FY17 driven by better product mix and cost control. Tax rate expected to increase to ~28% in FY17 from ~25% in FY16.