what choice one has, if you are already invested…the non-trading days were not in our hands…and it was not even in Dishman’s hands…that is how slow is the process in our stock exchanges…
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Buy right sit tight
Dishman has a growth story with it …
As per HDFC Report
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There is high visibility on seven commercial launches
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Niraparib alone could generate revenue worth US$ 5bn if it secures approvals for additional Indications, leading to a significant opportunity for DISH
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The start of commercial launches from DISH’s deep pipeline will drive top-line growth over FY17-20E.
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Sir, what is your opinion on Dishman now - given your medical background ?
the earnings seem to be improving, Net Debt to Equity is around 0.2 and product pipeline seems impressive as per the latest management presentation and multiple broker reports.
But still the price has crashed from 350 to around 200.
What is missing here? Are there any red flags that are not obvious? Promoter overhang?
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Highlights from the video ,
Potential takeover target…
IT findings are not out yet…
Trading at 5pe levels
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Stock has come down from 350+ in FY18 to 120 prior to raids…raids dealt a knock out. This one has been a real puzzle with only factual issue standing out is Goodwill and associated tax implications…mgmt has hinted in last con call as well so wasn’t unknown.
Brokerage houses are clueless as well…being second largest player in CRAMS… valuations are absurd…screaming buy at these levels…250+ institutions on concall yesterday including big pharma players…mgmt could do some buybacks…even if small amounts… unless they themselves are here to sell - willingly or otherwise
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Such incidents pose a big question mark on credibility of promotor and in view of almost hundred companies market cap vanishing in the last one year, companies having slightest corporate governance issue needs to be avoided to protect capital
Given the high amount of debt on the balance sheet, wouldn’t it be better to repay the debt rather than please the market on borrowed money?
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Buyback is done to stop one sided fall after IT raid, buyback amount is only 72cr
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And lower circuit still stays on post buy back announcements…Earning details to be watched out…Trust and quality is indeed a big deal
Just wondering who is accumulating large delivery in last month or so…no bulk/block deals either…
L&T Mutual Fund bought 51 lakh shares in Dec.19
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Dishman Carbogen Amics has a DE of approx 0.2 and an interest coverage ratio of >6. Why are you of the opinion that they have high debt? Am I missing something?
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While calculating DE, you may want to adjust for goodwill. Also, Debt/Ebitda is pretti high
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Does the company still mfg disinfectants - If so, what % of topline?
Tax raids have been weighing on the stock - Is it fair to expect that any real issues will be resolved by the company using the many tax resolution schemes launched by govt. The risks seem to have been factored in the price.
The increasing stake of FIIs + DIIs gives some comfort
Will this be a turnaround story?
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market purchase by KMP
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Evaluated due to RJ Purchase as per June’20 shareholding pattern :
| CMP | 182 | 52week High/Low | 218/46 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | 2860 | Debt | 1000 | ||
| Sales | 2000 | PE | 15.9 | ||
| PAT | 180 | ROE | 3% |
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The Co has 2 verticals - CRAMS - 75% of Revenue, - API - 25% of Revenue
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In terms of therapy, DCAL focuses on high-value added areas such as oncology, which accounts for more than half of the total revenue
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Other key focus areas include cardiovascular, central nervous system and orphan drugs.
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It has a clean USFDA Track record till now, but recently in June itself they got Regulatory Action from European Pharma Regulator
ROE is an Abysmal 3%
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This is mainly due to Large goodwill of 3400 Crores sitting on Books (60% of Net Block)
(this appeared due to an expensive reverse demerger of Promoter Private Entity with Dishman Pharma). -
Apart from that there is a perpetual CWIP of 200 Crores since 4 years
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After Merger stock had got listed at 350, but due to Income Tax Raids the stock fell down to 80 even before Corona - Income Tax Raids were reportedly done due to Bogus Billing of 1770 Crore
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The market participants in general do not have a very high view about Promoters son
This is mainly due to Large goodwill of 3400 Crores sitting on Books (60% of Net Block)
(this appeared due to an expensive reverse demerger of Promoter Private Entity with Dishman Pharma).
Can u explain this part for a novice like me to understand?
Thanks