these are kind of cockroachy stocks. nothing visible but one doesnt know when something will come out.
unless u have bought at very very attractive near bottom prices, its difficult to be comfortable owning these stocks as compared to the biggies like gruh ,hdfc etc.
this one is really going down. Do bulk deals done at prices lower than market prices bring the price down to the lower level? Read an article that suggests something similar happening with Kajaria.
Any body has any idea regarding the 10% spike today…if there is any new development please let us know…tried searching for it…but besides the approval for the merger there is no other trigger or positive news out there…
Can someone explain what the below means? Is this standard practice or is it something not in the interest of investors?
Dewan Housing Finance Corporation Limited has informed the Exchange that the Board of Directors of the Company at its meeting held on January 30, 2013 has considered the following: (1). Borrowings by way of Private Placement of Secured Debentures upto an amount not exceeding Rs 3000 crore, in one or more tranches (including an option to retain over subscription for issuance of additional NCDs, in such manner as the Board may at its sole discretion determine). (2). Borrowing by way of issue of Unsecured Redeemable Non. Convertible Subordinated Debentures (Tier II) upto an aggregate value of Rs 1,000 crore on private placement basis.
Net Interest Margin improves to 2.87% and Gross NPA decreases to 0.73% and NIL net NPA. Only 6% exposure to builders/projects.
The long awaited merger with FIrst Blue Home finance will happen in Q-4 as all court approvals have been obtained. As per my understanding currently DHFL has 11.73 Cr shares, the merger will add another 1.08 Cr shares.
The expected PAT for DHFL for FY13 with same growth exhibited in 9 months will be 365 Cr and if First Blue also grows as it has grown in 9 months PAT will be 121 Cr. EPS after the merger works out to Rs 38. Request others to cross check this.
When HDIL went down recently, as usual DHFL went downtemporarily and bounced back to 200+ levels. Kapil Wadhawan had to come on TV again to explain the family split has happened and they have nothing to do with HDIL
The share holding pattern of the com shows good presence of institutions:
Caledonia PLC-8.5%, Government of Singapore - 3.5%, HSBC - 4.8%, Wellington Trust 2.2% etc Caledonia also has a nominee in the board.
I see DHFL as a good long term investment with management exhibiting steady growth with quality loan book.
They need to raise money periodically for lending, being a finance company. There is nothing to worry about here. In my last 10 years of watching and frequently owning this stock, I have seen that the promoters are good with minority shareholders.
I have not owned the stock throughout this period and was in-out at various times.__I have some holdings currently. Overall, it has been a good stock, though not the best performing one. I started tracking it when it was below 50 rs and it has made a high of 400 at one point if I remember correctly. I was attracted by their business model of focus on smaller towns and small denomination loans which filled a necessary gap right at the beginning of last housing boom. The company has not disappointed and has grown consitently on all parameters. They also dilute equity frequently which seems necessary evil of a growing company in lending business. The promoters allot warrants/shares to themselves every few years to keep their holding between 35-45% which I like. As far as I remeber, they have been fair with minority guys. They have also been paying good and rising dividends. After the family split, the Dewan housing BS looks cleaner minus absence of Real estate and retail busines holdings. However, the stock has always been volatile. and I mean not due to HDIL connection. Even when there was no HDIL in markets, the stock was volatile. So I guess if you can handle this and be patient, this stock gives reasonable returns consitently.
@Tarun - thanks for the reply. I’m sort of undecided what to do about this one. I had bought this as a trading bet around 170 but as the results were/are promising I held on. The stock fluctuates quite a bit though…
With corporate governance issues hanging over the company’s head plus the time involved in differentiating itself from HDIL and its management, is there not a high opportunity cost involved here. What I am getting at is we might have to wait for a substantially long period before the market realizes this and gives it a valuation accordingly.
Also I have heard rumours about corporate governance issues with the company in the past and how the promoters are unethical people who are not to be trusted. Can anyone list out the misdeeds or actions which prompt people to start such rumours. As an investor with limited experience one of the toughest things for me is to evaluate management quality. Can someone suggest a way to deal with this…
Results are out. FY13 EPS as expected is at Rs 38.47 a growth of 25%. At CMP of 180 trading at below 5 times P/E, should get re-rated to 6 times as usual.
Loan book up YoY by 33% to 33900 Cr. Disbursement growth at 18%.
Gross NPA 0.68%.
NIM is at 2.72%, CAR at 16.65%. ROE 18%.
Final dividend Rs 3, interim was Rs 2.
Cheers
Vinod
Discl: I had converted my entire DHFL holding to Canfin. Canfin looked like a better opportunity in the same sector.
DHFL is an interesting play in single asset class financing in India. Historical performance is out of the charts with 5 yr PAT growth of 40% and 5yr ROE of 18%. Its avg ticket size is <10L, it lends in tier 2/3 markets and credit quality is exceptional. It is well capitalized and has some of the best long only shareholders holding significant stakes. Still it trades at a measly 0.5x book, quite a mystery to me which I am struggling to decode… potential reasons that come to mind are:
Under reporting of credit slippages
Transactions with HDIL which are some how masked (although Kapil has denied any such business on TV)
Linkage with HDIL as they are are cousins, albeit separated now
Very opaque disclosures - no one knows the consideration, stake, future capital commitments etc for their DLF purchase, First blue merger was a complicated transaction to understand. Promoter group companies are involved in virtually every transaction
Distracted promoter - always seems to be interested in acquisitions many of which do not strategically fit - including first blue and alleged attempt to buy a Private equity fund
Poor communication - management decided to do away with analyst calls and there wasnt one for the full year FY13.
Hoping to get to the bottom of what looks like a great opportunity…
Have been looking at DHFL for some time and share the concerns already talked about here, but at a given price I think it presents value … at about 0.47 book looks like concerns are beginning to get overshot and long term growth potential dismissed. Interesting story at these levels and as price corrects even further…