Hi,
Good to read through so many diverse comments on this thread. I will present some very broad thoughts on this theme here.
First of all, I believe this merger is a very good thing from point of view of shareholders. If you remember one of the key worries I had about KPIT were the relentless acquisitions. It almost reminded me of Lynch’s “di-worse-ification” thesis Now, the company is doing the exact opposite. It is bringing back focus on its strengths. For the purpose of this discussion allow me to call the automotive side of KPIT as its core business and the business IT as the non-core part,
Now KPIT is divesting its non core businesses to Birlasoft. Who runs Birlasoft? Anjan Lahiri. Anjan is the founder of mindtree, and if I recall correctly he was instrumental in turning Sasken around as well. As per this report, Sasken lost about 20% of its market cap on the day his departure.
From the same article:
“Lahiri, widely regarded as an ace salesman, started his career with Wipro Infotech in 1987. In 1999, he co-founded Mindtree with other former Wipro executives such as Krishnakumar Natarajan and Ashok Soota. Prior to his departure from Mindtree, he headed the company’s IT services business and was instrumental in winning a number of important deals from customers such as AIG, Microsoft and US-based IT firm SITA”
Now my base case is that, at the very least, the non core of KPIT will become the core of Birlasoft and with a sharp mind like Anjan at the helm, will do much better than the current situation. This benefit will be translated to current shareholders of KPIT as they will get shares in Birlasoft.
Secondly, with increased focus on the core business, KPIT will also do much better in the Auto space. I am inherently bullish on the auto software business. As electric vehicles roll on to the road, eventually driverless cars as well perhaps, the software in a car will become a big differentiating factor. It is also not a bodyshopping type of work and anyone can simply google to see the array of patents that KPIT has in this space.
An increased focus on the best performing division that is in the sweet spot of a multi year growth industry would bode well for KPIT and will not doubt be reflected in the financials over the next 2-3 years after the demerger.
This is by no means a recommendation, but just a humble attempt to put the developments into perspective.
Disc: Invested in KPIT.